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Writer's pictureFrank Garay

How the Fed Rate Cut Will Impact Mortgage Rates and Buyer Activity

The Federal Reserve is poised to announce a rate cut this week, with speculation ranging from a 25 to a 50-basis-point reduction. This news has caught the attention of real estate professionals and homebuyers alike, as it could significantly influence the housing market. With the possibility of multiple cuts before the end of the year, now is the time for realtors to take action and engage clients who have been hesitant due to higher mortgage rates.


The Fed Rate Cut Impact on Mortgage Rates: What Realtors Need to Know


While the Fed doesn’t directly control mortgage rates, its influence on the broader economy affects lending institutions and the rates they offer. Currently, the average mortgage rate for a 30-year fixed loan is around 6.5%. A potential cut of 25 or even 50 basis points could bring this number down, albeit gradually, offering much-needed relief to homebuyers​.


Mortgage rates tend to track the 10-year Treasury bond yields, which are sensitive to the Fed’s decisions. When the Fed cuts rates, it becomes cheaper for banks to borrow, and in turn, this can translate into lower mortgage rates. However, it’s important to note that any reductions are likely to be incremental, with rates potentially dropping to the lower 6% range by the end of 2024


For realtors, this means that just the news of a rate cut can be enough to stir up interest among buyers. Even before any significant drop in mortgage rates, many prospective buyers may feel that this is their chance to enter the market. Realtors should capitalize on this sentiment by reaching out to clients who have held off on buying due to high borrowing costs.


Why Now Is the Time to Engage With Buyers


The anticipation of a rate cut presents a perfect opportunity for realtors to re-engage with buyers who have been priced out of the market due to rising interest rates. As rates decrease, even by a fraction, it can make a noticeable difference in monthly mortgage payments. For example, a 0.25% reduction on a $300,000 loan could save borrowers around $67 per month, adding up to significant savings over the life of the loan​.


Buyers who were discouraged by rates reaching over 7% earlier this year might now feel encouraged to resume their home search, especially if they can secure a mortgage in the lower 6% range. For those considering adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) or refinancing, the impact of the Fed’s actions could be even more immediate. ARMs and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) are more directly tied to short-term interest rates, and these borrowers could see their payments decrease faster than those with fixed-rate mortgages​.


What Realtors Can Expect


While a Fed rate cut can help lower mortgage rates, it also has the potential to increase demand in the housing market. This renewed buyer interest could lead to heightened competition for available homes, especially in markets with limited inventory. As demand increases, home prices may rise, which could offset some of the savings from lower interest rates.


For realtors, this means it’s crucial to be proactive. Start reaching out to potential buyers now to inform them about the likely impact of the Fed’s actions. Discuss how even a slight drop in rates can improve their buying power and make homeownership more affordable. Additionally, for buyers on the fence, the possibility of more rate cuts later in the year provides an extended window of opportunity to lock in a favorable rate​.


Long-Term Outlook for Mortgage Rates


Even though mortgage rates are expected to decrease, it’s unlikely they’ll return to the record lows seen during the pandemic. Most experts predict that rates will remain elevated compared to the sub-3% levels that were available just a few years ago. By year-end, average 30-year mortgage rates are expected to hover around 6.4%.


That said, the overall trajectory is positive for buyers and sellers alike. Lower rates can bring more buyers into the market, potentially increasing demand and supporting higher home prices. For realtors, this is an opportunity to educate clients, whether they’re first-time buyers, investors, or homeowners looking to refinance.


Conclusion


The Fed’s anticipated rate cut is creating optimism in the housing market. While the exact impact on mortgage rates will depend on various factors, realtors should act now to engage with clients who have been waiting for a more favorable borrowing environment. Just the news of rate cuts is likely to stir up buyer interest, making this a crucial time to re-establish relationships with potential buyers and get them ready to move forward with their home search.

 

If you’d like to connect with me to discuss anything real estate or mortgage-related, feel free to call or text me at 707-695-6313. You can also easily grab 15 minutes on my calendar by clicking the calendar image below. I look forward to speaking with you!

Frank Garay Calendar

 

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